Investment Timing Software Results

The PWA 500 Timer

The PWA 500 Timer chart parameters are set by our staff and, in contrast to the Online Analyzer program, cannot be changed by users. The settings are:

  • Centered moving average days = 63
  • Inner band setting = 30
  • Outer band setting = 40
  • Results
  • Decision Keys
Year Date Buy Sell Points Gain or Loss % Gain or Loss Dollar Amount Annual % Growth
Starting $           10,000  
2003 2/12 834          
  3/21   895 61 7.3% 10,731  
  4/16 879          
  6/18   1010 131 14.9% 12,331 23.3%
2004 3/23 1093          
  11/12   1184 91 8.3% 13,357 8.3%
2005 4/20 1137          
  5/27   1198 61 5.4% 14,074  
  10/18 1178          
  11/21   1254 76 6.5% 14,982 12.2%
2006 6/19 1240          
  10/13   1365 125 10.1% 16,492 10.1%
2007 3/13 1377          
  4/16   1468 91 6.6% 17,582  
  8/3 1450          
  10/1   1547 97 6.7% 18,758  
  11/19 1433          
  12/10   1515 82 5.7% 19,832 20.2%
2008 1/22 1310          
  5/1   1409 99 7.6% 21,331  
  6/18 1337          
  7/2   1261 -76 -5.7% 20,118 1.4%
  11/21 800          
2009 1/8   909 109 13.6% 22,859  
  3/10 719          
  5/11   909 190 26.4% 28,900  
  7/10 879          
  8/4   1005 126 14.3% 33,042  
  10/30 1035          
  11/16   1109 74 7.1% 35,405 76.0%
2010 2/5 1066          
  3/18   1165 99 9.3% 38,693  
  5/25 1074          
  8/10   1121 47 4.4% 40,386  
  8/30 1048          
  9/27   1142 94 9.0% 44,009 24.3%
2011 3/17 1273          
  5/2   1361 88 6.9% 47,051  
  6/15 1270          
  7/25   1337 67 5.3% 49,533  
  8/11 1172          
  9/19   1204 32 2.7% 50,885  
  10/5 1144          
  10/18   1225 81 7.0% 54,488  
  11/28 1192          
  12/29   1263 71 6.0% 57,734 31.2%
2012 22-May 1316          
  5-Jul   1367 51 3.9% 59,971  
  16-Nov 1359          
  20-Dec   1443 84 6.2% 63,678 10.3%
Year Date Buy Sell Dollar Amount MACD
Status
Other Decision Keys
Starting $       10,000    
2003 2/12 834     Flat Dark green buy band
  3/21   895 10,731   Deep into sell band, take profit
  4/16 879       Trend turning up, buy on dip
  6/18   1010 12,331 Flat Dark red sell band
2004 3/23 1093     Flat Dark green
  11/12   1184 13,357 Flat Dark red sell band
2005 4/20 1137       Dark green
  5/27   1198 14,074 Flat Orange sell band
  10/18 1178     Flat Green buy band
  11/21   1254 14,982 Flat Dark red sell band
2006 6/19 1240     Flat Green buy band
  10/13   1365 16,492 Flat Orange sell band
2007 3/13 1377     Converge  
  4/16   1468 17,582 Flat Dark red sell band
  8/3 1450     Flat Dark green buy band
  10/1   1547 18,758 Converge Dark red sell band
  11/19 1433     Converge Dark green buy band
  12/10   1515 19,832   Trend turning down, take profit
2008 1/22 1310       Deep into green buy band
  5/1   1409 21,331 Converge Dark red sell band
  6/18 1337     Converge Dark green buy band
  7/2   1261 20,118   Stopped out, trend steep, wait
  11/21 800       Steep trend easing, Dark green
2009 1/8   909 22,859 Flat Orange sell band
  3/10 719     Flat Dark green buy band
  5/11   909 28,900 Flat Dark red sell band
  7/10 879       In buy band, trend is up
  8/4   1005 33,042 Flat Dark red sell band
  10/30 1035       In buy band, trend is up
  11/16   1109 35,405 Flat Orange sell band
2010 2/5 1066     Flat Dark green buy band
  3/18   1165 38,693 Flat Dark red sell band
  5/25 1074       Deep into buy band, 6 days
  8/10   1121 40,386 Flat Orange sell band
  8/30 1048       Dark green buy band, trend is up
  9/27   1142 44,009 Flat Dark red sell band
2011 3/17 1273        
  5/2   1361 47,051 Flat Price leaves red for orange
  6/15 1270     Flat  
  7/25   1337 49,533   Price leaves red for orange
  8/11 1172        
  9/19   1204 50,885 Flat  
  10/5 1144     Flat Price leaves buy bands
  10/18   1225 54,488 Flat  
  11/28 1192     Flat  
  12/29   1263 57,734 Flat  
2012 5/22 1316     Converge  
  7/5   1367 59,971 Flat  
  11/16 1359     Flat Deep into Dark Green
  12/20   1443 63,678   Level = last rally

To see all data in .pdf format click here

A summary of the PWA 500 Timer over ten years shows the following:

  • There were 25 switch cycles consisting of one buy and one sell.
  • The ending value in this study was $63,678. This is 6.37 times the hypothetical invested amount.
  • There was a 537% return.

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