Investment Timing Software Results

Online Analyzer, 40 Day Moving Average

This table shows results from using the Online Analyzer market timing program with different chart parameter settings, which are:

  • Moving average = 40 days
  • Inner band setting = 25
  • Outer band setting = 30

The tighter chart settings result in more trades with a greater overall return.

  • Results
  • Decision Keys
Year Date Buy Sell Points Gain or Loss % Gain or Loss Dollar Amount Annual % Growth
Starting $           10,000  
2003 2/13 817          
  3/21   895 78 9.5% 10,955  
  4/9 865          
  6/10   984 119 13.8% 12,462  
  8/5 965          
  9/4   1027 62 6.4% 13,262  
  9/26 966         32.6%
2004 1/8   1126 160 16.6% 15,459  
  3/22 1095          
  6/8   1142 47 4.3% 16,123  
  7/26 1084          
  11/5   1166 82 7.6% 17,342 30.8%
2005 1/24 1163          
  7/28   1243 80 6.9% 18,535  
  10/18 1178          
  11/28   1257 79 6.7% 19,778 14.0%
2006 5/24 1258         0.0%
2007 6/4   1539 281 22.3% 24,196  
  6/7 1490          
  7/19   1553 63 4.2% 25,219  
  8/3 1450          
  9/26   1525 75 5.2% 26,524  
  11/15 1451          
  12/10   1515 64 4.4% 27,693 40.0%
2008 1/21 1335          
  2/1   1395 60 4.5% 28,938  
  3/10 1273          
  5/5   1407 134 10.5% 31,984  
  7/7 1252          
  8/11   1305 53 4.2% 33,338  
  11/21 800          
  12/16   913 113 14.1% 38,047 37.4%
2009 1/20 805          
  2/6   868 63 7.8% 41,025  
  3/2 700          
  3/26   832 132 18.9% 48,761  
  7/8 882          
  8/4   1005 123 13.9% 55,561  
  10/2 1025          
  10/22   1092 67 6.5% 59,193  
  10/30 1035          
  11/18   1109 74 7.1% 63,425 66.7%
2010 2/5 1066          
  4/14   1210 144 13.5% 71,993  
  5/26 1067          
  8/4   1127 60 5.6% 76,041  
  8/31 1049          
  9/27   1142 93 8.9% 82,782 30.5%
2011 3/18 1279          
  4/7   1333 54 4.2% 86,277  
  6/10 1270          
  7/7   1353 83 6.5% 91,916  
  8/8 1119          
  9/19   1204 85 7.6% 98,898  
  9/26 1162          
  10/24   1285 123 10.6% 109,367  
  11/25 1158          
  12/9   1255 97 8.4% 118,528 43.2%
2012 5/22 1316          
  7/5   1367 51 3.9% 123,121  
  11/16 1359          
  12/18   1446 87 6.4% 131,003 10.5%
Year Date Buy Sell Dollar Amount MACD
Status
Other Decision Key
Starting $       10,000    
2003 2/13 817     Flat Dark green
  3/21   895 10,955   Deep into dell band
  4/9 865       Trend up, buy on dip
  6/10   984 12,462 Flat Dark red
  8/5 965       Light green buy band
  9/4   1027 13,262   Sell band. Level = last rallies
  9/26 966       Buy band. Level = last rallies
2004 1/8   1126 15,459 Flat Dark red
  3/22 1095     Converge Dark green
  6/8   1142 16,123   Sell band. Level = last rallies
  7/26 1084     Flat Light green
  11/5   1166 17,342   Deep into sell band, 6 days
2005 1/24 1163     Flat Light green
  7/28   1243 18,535 Flat Orange sell band, take profit
  10/18 1178     Converge Green
  11/28   1257 19,778 Flat Price exit buy, take profit
2006 5/24 1258       Buy band
2007 6/4   1539 24,196   Orange, take profit
  6/7 1490       Green, trend = up
  7/19   1553 25,219   Trend rounding, take profit
  8/3 1450     Flat Dark green
  9/26   1525 26,524 Converge Dark red
  11/15 1451     Flat Dark green
  12/10   1515 27,693   Deep red, exceed last rallies
2008 1/21 1335       Deep into buy band
  2/1   1395 28,938   Orange, trend down, take profit
  3/10 1273       Deep into green = last rallies
  5/5   1407 31,984 Flat Dark red
  7/7 1252     Converge Deep into buy band
  8/11   1305 33,338   Sell = last rallies, steep trend, wait
  11/21 800       Trend = eased, deep dark green
  12/16   913 38,047 Converge Dark red, take profit
2009 1/20 805       Buy band, level = last rally
  2/6   868 41,025   Orange, take profit
  3/2 700     Flat Deep into dark green
  3/26   832 48,761   Exceeds last 3 rallies, take profit
  7/8 882       Deep into buy band
  8/4   1005 55,561 Flat  
  10/2 1025       Buy on dip
  10/22   1092 59,193 Flat  
  10/30 1035       Buy band level = last rallies
  11/18   1109 63,425   Sell band level = last rallies
2010 2/5 1066     Converge Dark green, level = last rallies
  4/14   1210 71,993 Flat Dark red, take profit
  5/26 1067       Deep into buy band, 6 days
  8/4   1127 76,041 Flat Dark red, take profit
  8/31 1049     Converge Dark green
  9/27   1142 82,782 Converge Dark red
2011 3/18 1279       Price leaves dark green
  4/7   1333 86,277 Flat  
  6/10 1270     Converge  
  7/7   1353 91,916 Flat  
  8/8 1119       Price deep into dark green
  9/19   1204 98,898   Price leaves sell bands
  9/26 1162       Price leaves buy bands
  10/24   1285 109,367   Level=last rally, Take profit
  11/25 1158       Level=last rally
  12/9   1255 118,528 Converge Take Profit
2012 5/22 1316     Converge  
  7/5   1367 123,121 Flat  
  11/16 1359     Flat  
  12/18   1446 131,003   Level=last rally

To see all data in .pdf format click here

Using the 40 day moving average setting with the Online Analyzer market timing program we find the following:

  • There were 31 switch cycles, one buy and one sell.
  • Total value at the end of the study was $131,003 which is 13.1 times the money invested, and represents a 1,210% gain in ten years.
  • This is an excellent return.

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